Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.881884 2.044397 2.217279 2.415351 2.636584 2.876737 3.158023
2025-12-07 1.626588 1.846293 2.093582 2.394283 2.752391 3.168149 3.691644
2025-12-14 1.456011 1.704904 1.996612 2.367156 2.830202 3.396320 4.151119
2025-12-21 1.303151 1.561915 1.874610 2.285362 2.818343 3.497383 4.445969
2025-12-28 1.220751 1.493980 1.833368 2.293044 2.910667 3.728687 4.923750
2026-01-04 1.159986 1.446178 1.810529 2.317893 3.021767 3.988378 5.461872
2026-01-11 1.109820 1.406913 1.793664 2.346068 3.135503 4.257130 6.037927
2026-01-18 1.064400 1.369815 1.775522 2.368649 3.239932 4.518081 6.627865
2026-01-25 1.017969 1.327717 1.746675 2.372159 3.314294 4.737749 7.174558
2026-02-01 0.959164 1.264776 1.684311 2.321615 3.301849 4.820190 7.501747
2026-02-08 0.911266 1.214212 1.636020 2.287581 3.310322 4.933668 7.890914
2026-02-15 0.872956 1.175031 1.601489 2.271153 3.343712 5.088275 8.367829
2026-02-22 0.855888 1.166083 1.611319 2.324473 3.495047 5.457183 9.293340
2026-03-01 0.821877 1.130623 1.579704 2.310634 3.534610 5.637753 9.886758
2026-03-08 0.787714 1.093174 1.542882 2.285653 3.552627 5.780539 10.423289
2026-03-15 0.742991 1.037877 1.475959 2.207559 3.473027 5.737863 10.571753
2026-03-22 0.721948 1.017403 1.461721 2.214930 3.542869 5.977919 11.351182
2026-03-29 0.706093 1.004028 1.457700 2.238705 3.643149 6.284779 12.323760
2026-04-05 0.691910 0.992502 1.455836 2.265655 3.750750 6.616097 13.406264
2026-04-12 0.677410 0.979763 1.451228 2.287252 3.849554 6.939243 14.524780
2026-04-19 0.660009 0.961648 1.436884 2.290608 3.913425 7.196040 15.523820
2026-04-26 0.633364 0.927727 1.394968 2.242266 3.873007 7.226791 15.944945
2026-05-03 0.611298 0.900371 1.362802 2.209707 3.861210 7.318041 16.542147